Welcome to the BlueWave Forecasting Cloud

Purchase scenarios and start a new forecasting experience

Scenarios for over 80 industries. Best suited to use recommendation and reliability index. For example, use for this for income statements and sales. Back tests show 94.2% accuracy over 12 months and 91% in 24 months.

Purchase Scenarios for Your Industry

Upload an Excel or CSV file with the data you wish to forecast. Can also connect to most databases.

Upload the Files You Want to Forecast

Check to see that the default settings and seasonality for your business look correct. Also select additional types of forecasts such as simple and compound growth and regressions to compare different forecast methods side-by-side.

Review the Default Settings

Imagine seeing your forecast with 3 scenarios in one chart. Imagine then adding a "what-if" to show simple and compound growth, and a regression forecast. Thats six views of a forecast done for you in minutes.

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Actuarial precision

We trust actuarial science methods which we incorporate into our software for maximum accuracy

Each client is assigned a dedicated and highly qualified forecasting expert to ensure that you get the forecasts you need. Our expert will even present at a virtual meeting to explain the methods and assumptions around your forecast

Click to CREATE AND DISCOVER THE MARKETPLACE

BlueWave industry scenarios are calibrated to include the right drivers for each industry. Seasonality is also included and we help our clients to tweak everything for their business.

We update and adjust industry scenario forecasts each month so that they incorporate the latest news and data. When we work with you, we add additional drivers for your business and we show how this works

Find the right Scenario for your Industry

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Industry

Note: It matters how prior periods are referenced. For example reference previous month or previous year or previous year season. We provide the scenarios with these combinations that you can compare on your forecasts and select what looks best for your business.

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Indicators, Statistics, Financials Wholesale And Retail Trade - Summarized Imports And Exports Consumption Production

	Source	Description
Auto Trade Sales	Statistics South Africa	Motor Trade Sales monthly publication for various categories including new and used vehicle sales as well as sales of accessories (which include car tyres). Data shows actual values as well as values indexed to 2019=100
Consumption spend final	Statistics South Africa	Final Consumption expenditure by households in Rand on various variables. One is transport. So all money spent by households on goods and services in the transport sector. The other variable is semi durable goods. Goods classified with a life span of between 6 months and 5 years. Various vehicle parts are included including tyres, brakes etc
Exchange Rates	South African Reserve Bank	Average monthly exchange rate of the South African Rand against the US Dollar, The Euro and Great British Pound. Indexed to 2019=100
InterestRate	South African Reserve Bank	The daily repo rate (main interest rate used in SA) was converted to monthly average. Indexed to 2019=100
BCI	South African Reserve Bank	Business cycle indicators (BCI). There are four indicators. 3 as received from SARB and one is derived. Equal weighted is derived from the three indicators by giving each of the three indicators an equal weight. These indicators are used by the South African Reserve Bank to identify turning points in the South African economy. Data indexed to 2019=100
SACCI BCI	South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry	Timeseries of SACCI's Business Confidence Index (BCI). Data indexed to 2019=100
BER_BCI	Bureau of Economic Research (BER)- Univesity of Stellenbosch Business Confidence Index	Business confidence index developed and published by the Bureau for Economic Research and funded and sponsored by RMB Private Bank. Data is quarterly and indexed t0 2019=100
GDP	Statistics South Africa	Quarterly GDP per industry from 2010. Data indexed to 2019=100
UVI	Statistics South Africa	Unit Value Indices is an indirect method of calculating import and export price inflation. Indexed to 2019=100
PPI	Statistics South Africa	Producer Price Indices (Producer inflation). The current level of data is only available from 2012, when the methodology of measuring producer prices changed to the current "stages of production" method. Data indexed to 2019=100
CPI	Statistics South Africa	Consumer Price Indices (Consumer inflation). A large number of products inflation included in this sheet showing the inflation rate of products purchased by consumers. Data indexed to 2019=100
FinancialData	Statistics South Africa	This tab is a consolidation of all the Quarterly Financial Statistics (QFS) publications from 2010. It includes all the financial data published and is for all firm sizes for various sectors. A separate sheet with more detailed data was stored in the Google Drive
Manufacturing- Volumes	Statistics South Africa	This tab contains detailed manufacturing volumes data for various manufacturing categories in South Africa. Indexed to 2019=100
Manufacturing- Sales	Statistics South Africa	This tab contains detailed manufacturing actual sales values for various manufacturing categories in South Africa. Raw sales data and indexed data contained in tab. Indexed to 2019=100
Quarterly Data	Statistics South Africa and Bureau of Economic Research (BER)	All quarterly data added to the same sheet to calculate correlations (data include GDP, BER BCI, Interest Rates and QFS financial information)
Credit_Extension	South African Reserve Bank	Monthly data that relatest to credit extended to consumers (be it instalment sales, lease agreements, mortages or other loans (such as personal loans). Actual value of loans provided as well as indexed data 2019=100 provided. The monthly data has also be quarterised so that it can be compared to quarterly data
Sensitivity Analysis	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	The sheet shows the impact a 1% change in the mover variable has on the being impacted variable. So in line 2, a 1% change in used vehcile sales leads to 0.67% change in new vehicle sales
Up Down	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	The sheet shows the direction of quarter on quarter movements for all variables. The aim is to determine which variables move in the same direction quarter over quarter
AllQ-data-correlations	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	Correlation table for all quarterly variables
All-Q data forecasts_tbats	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	Forecasting variables 2 years in advance using TBATS forecasting model
All-Q data forecasts_SARIMA	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	Forecasting variables 2 years in advance using Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Averages (SARIMA) forecasting model
All-Q data forecasts_HoltWint	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	Forecasting variables 2 years in advance using HoltWinters forecasting model
Model vs Actual	Model predicted values vs actual new vehicle sales	Model predicted values vs actual new vehicle sales
BestModelFit vs Actual	Best model plotted against actual new vehicle sales	Best model plotted against actual new vehicle sales
VariableAgreement vs NVS	Checking the number of times variables move in same direction as bew vehicle sales	The aim of this is to highlight the variables that moves in the same direction as new vehicle sales
Model Variables	Description of which variables were used in each model	All variables used in the different regressio models
�ll_data_indexed_in_quarters	Statistics South Africa, South African Reserve Bank and Bureau of Economic Research (BER) data	All data converted to quarters and indexed to 2019=100
Latest_model_11_Jan	Statistics South Africa and South African Reserve Bank	Incorporated Gross Earnings from QES survey and Disposable income from SARB
Expenditure proportions	Statistics South Africa	Calculated the proportions of various expenditure groups based on total household consumption expenditure
Credit proportions	South African Reserve Bank	Calculated the proportions of various credit types based on total credit extended
UpDown_with lags	All data sources and variables	Compared the quarterly movements of NVS to all variables, with all variables lagged by 1,2 and 3 quarters
Focus_variables_made_mont	Statistics South Africa and SARS	Using monthly surveys and data to break down quarterly data into monthly data
DebtServiceCost_Dis_Inc	South African Reserve Bank	This shows the percentage debt servicing cost (interest paid on debt) to disposable income

Let's get Forecasting!

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Last name

Company

Country

Industry

Welcome to the BlueWave Forecasting Cloud

Purchase scenarios and start a new forecasting experience

Actuarial precision

BlueWave industry scenarios are calibrated to include the right drivers for each industry. Seasonality is also included and we help our clients to tweak everything for their business.

Find the right Scenario for your Industry

Note: It matters how prior periods are referenced. For example reference previous month or previous year or previous year season. We provide the scenarios with these combinations that you can compare on your forecasts and select what looks best for your business.

Find a scenario for my industry

Find economic indicators

Welcome to the BlueWave Forecasting Cloud

Purchase scenarios and start a new forecasting experience

Actuarial precision

BlueWave industry scenarios are calibrated to include the right drivers for each industry. Seasonality is also included and we help our clients to tweak everything for their business.

Find the right Scenario for your Industry

Note: It matters how prior periods are referenced. For example reference previous month or previous year or previous year season. We provide the scenarios with these combinations that you can compare on your forecasts and select what looks best for your business.

Find a scenario for my industry

Find economic indicators

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